【Power 7 Team独家市场分析】六月市场需求仍旺盛同比价升6.3% 加国央行七年来首次加息影响甚微

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这个夏天对于整个地产业界注定是不平凡的挑战,那边厢正经受着安省房价调控新政的过渡影响,这边厢又迎来了加拿大央行七年来首次加息25厘的考验。不过,作为当前最具价值和潜力的投资类项,地产市场仍未因为政策调整而出现过分萧条的现象,6月份大多地区的房屋均价尽管相比5月增幅略跌但是与去年同期相比仍有6.3%的增幅,显示了房市趋于平稳。而且加息的幅度不大令房贷利率依然处于历史低水平程度,所以地产市场的健康程度依旧,无需过分担忧。

六月市场需求仍旺盛同比价升6.3%

最新出炉的六月地产市场价格数据显示,加拿大房价继续看涨,而且以多伦多和汉密尔顿为首的区域创了增长记录,似乎丝毫未受安省房价调控新政的影响,一直红火的房地产市场需求也旺盛依旧。

从数据显示来看,今年6MLS挂牌的住宅销量较去年同期减少了37.3%,而新挂牌数量则上升了15.9%。但是大多伦多地区六月份所有住宅类型的综合平均售价则为$793,915,较去年同期上升了6.3%。当中,多伦多六月份房价增幅为3.7%,邻近的汉密尔顿增幅更为4.1%。这可以归结为由于多伦多的房价太高,所以令很多置业者和投资者都将目光投向周边,而汉密尔顿就是因此大获关注的区域。

按目前市场走势来看,持续增加的挂牌数和房屋成交量的减少将有可能令到2017年下半年大多伦多的房价不会有太大变化而更趋平缓,不过从近两月的房屋成交价来分析年度的房价涨速依然会保持在两位数。

很多人担心市场会一直冷却下去,但是资深的地产人会淡定面对这一切,因为从需求上看,大多伦多地区的住房需求依然强劲。最近就有消费者调查显示,未来12个月大多伦多地区居民的购房意向依旧非常强烈。而且对于调控政策的影响,大众尚且可以比较温哥华,一度热火的温哥华房市在省府去年施加了外国买家税政策后,2016年后期一度冷却,然而目前又恢复增长了2.5%并创下新高。所以,对于市场的前景总趋势仍是无需过忧。

加国央行七年来首次加息影响甚微

一直以来,很多人都将房市的持续火热归咎于银行多年来极低的利率,然而升息是否真能解决问题呢?现在加拿大央行就真的实施“狼来了”看看反响。加拿大央行日前正式宣布加息25厘,这是7年来的首次加息。尽管加幅不至于令背负房贷的人生活遭遇巨变,但仍会给与民众“狼来了”的感觉。

市场上还有预测在十月份仍有一次加息可能。但是专业人士分析,在目前这种市场情况下,作为整个国家的支柱性产业之一,央行一定会十分谨慎,毕竟政府还要考虑自己的执政地位的,没有人愿意把地产市场搞垮而损害到经济。所以加息步调并不能操之过急。事实上,即便是上涨了0.25%的贷款利率,也是经历过以前超高贷款利率阶段的民众所梦寐以求的利率。这样的论调大众应该非常熟悉:对于账户上连房款的20%首付款都远远不够的人士,甚至要分租以维持住房开支的很多家庭和个人而言,就算现在利息是0也还是买不了房。而对于首付款充足,工作稳定且高薪的人士来说,现在的利息再涨2个点,需要买房的还是会买房,毕竟现在的利率仍是史低的程度。

对于市场走势,平缓会是未来的主调,也许没了大涨的兴奋,但是健康的市场不正是大家一直所祈求的吗?

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