A股为什么跌跌不休?

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A股两个月来,一直跌跌不休—-前段说过的,国内股市会反复的判断,不幸而言中。 Peter认为,这主要有5方面的原因(有些以前也提起过): 首先,国内宏观经济情况不太好,增长明显放缓。根据用电量,煤价等方面的数据,有极端的人甚至认为经济实际是零增长!多年来,中国经济一直在过热过冷中摇摆一放就热,一调(控)就冷。政府强压房地产,对经济有很大的打击。 其次,目前全球股市都不稳定,经济,甚至政治方面都有很多不确定因素,尤其是欧洲问题,让人不厌其烦。 第三,中国今年18大博弈得很厉害,没有尘埃落定之前,没有明确的政策信号,大资金不可能有大动作 第四,中国股市继续疯狂圈钱。证监会郭树清虽然四处唱多,但没有多少真正的实惠,在IPOT+0等方面继续打官腔,如何能让投资者心服? 第五,政府在打压地产上面继续嘴硬损害了经济,也压不住房价,没有人受益。连同温的一句“银行赚钱太容易”—-银行股地产股不涨,股市那能涨? 不过Peter对今后一两年的股市继续乐观物极必反,跌了这么多,这么久(4,5年),大牛市应该不远了。某种意义上说,近期再跌破2132,甚至跌破2000,都会是好事。 7月活动:

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  1. DanDon Says:

    China stock markets just start to rise. The Shanghai composite index’s Daily SAR indicator just gave the Big buying signal. Other indicators , such as MACD, KDJ, RIS, already golden crossed up in the big bottom. Also another China region’s Index - Hengshen Index weekly chart alreday break out - broke out the declined resistant trend line seeing from weekly chart. Especially the Hengshen Index’s monthly chart SAR(monthly SAR indicator) gave the buying signal. Also Crude oil goes down , this is good for China, it will ease China’s inflation, PBOC central bank have much room to ease, such as reduce Bank’s depsoit Reserve Rate- RRR, or reduce the interest rate, These are good for Stock markets. China will be QE soon or in Oct. The HongKong Market first smell the good news coming earlier than in Mainland of China. So HK market rose early.

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People Don’t Know What They Don’t Know 知识就是力量!信息就是财富!俱乐部不定期活动!联系Peter 电话:647-8607588,Email:[email protected],QQ群:39884412