多伦多豪宅的销售下滑 导致全国住宅均价下降

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受安省的新政压力,大多地区豪宅销售数量大幅下降,这是上月全国住宅的均价下滑的主要原因。

加拿大房地产业协会周二表示,全国7月份住宅的平均价格下滑至478,696加元,比2016年同期下降0.3%,是2013年2月以来的第一次。全国房屋销售数量七月份下降至42,438宗,较去年同期下降了百分之十九点九。 连续第四个月下跌。

BMO 的高级经济学家罗伯特·卡夫西奇分析:安省的新政有效的限制了大多地区的地产投机活动。同时释放出这样的一个信息:政府要控制房价上涨,价格不会无限增长。

加拿大央行在七月份加息,今年下办年可能还会再上涨一次。这对房价的增长有负影响。因此,大多地区的价格调整比在哥华更深刻一些,也许需要更多的时间。当然, 利率的上涨不仅仅影响的是买家负担能力的问题,也是买家心理学问题。大多数投资者和买家现在持观望的心态,等待市场趋势明朗。

这与大温哥华地区去年的情况有些相同。在2016年8月对温哥华地区的外国买家征收了15%的税收,这一举措帮助遏制了大温哥华地区地产市场的暴涨,但从今年春天市场开始反弹。因此,大多地区可能会比大温哥华地区需要更长的恢复期。

分析指出,剔除大多地区和大温哥华地区的数据,全国平均房价与去年同期相比七月上涨4.5%。七月份住宅销售与上年同期相比,大多地区下跌40.7%,而在尼亚加拉地区下降28.2%,在汉密尔顿 - 伯灵顿下降23.6%。

分析认为,大多地区地产市场的转售物业的供应,由今年二月和三月0.8个月的库存与7月2.6个月的库存相比,市场趋于更健康。价格也许触底或将要触底。市场心理从四月以来在大多地区已经改变。没有了过去的狂热

大温哥华的平均住房价格7月份为$ 1.02百万加元,比6月增长2.1%,而比2016年增长8.7%,但低于2016年的春天创纪录的水平。七月的统计数据证据表明,大温哥华地区地产市场,没有再次走上过热通道,这对全国的地产市场的健康发展是一个好消息。

王笑康

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