【POWER7市场分析】万锦征海外买家土地转让税被否决 中国限汇导致海外买家转投低价房

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房价节节攀升,对于已有房产的人而言是财富增值的满足,但是对于一些仍然没有上车的本地人,他们则是如热锅上蚂蚁一样焦急。并且,不少当地人把房价疯涨的缘由都归于海外买家,所以华人聚居区万锦市就有议员提议仿效大温增收海外买家土地转让税,虽然提案被否决,但是市场的火热和紧张程度其实也由此可见一斑。同时,近年来,随着中国限汇政策的收紧,资金的转移没有以往方便,所以海外买家纷纷转投低价房,这无疑会为还没上车的工薪阶层增加更大的难度。

万锦征海外买家土地转让税被否决

提请在万锦市征收海外买家土地转让税的理据在于,很多房屋空置只为投资而非自住,既造成房源紧张而哄抬了房价,又因空置屋没人打理而降低社区环境质量。议员之所以动议采取大温地区的做法,皆因温哥华实施海外买家税时统计发现,每月海外买家的比例逐渐升高,到推行新税时已经达19%,其后才回落至1%,说明海外买家在征税后开始大撤退。

不过这个动议支持者寥寥,持反对意见的万锦市场薛家平就表示,目前万锦独立屋房价猛涨的主要原因是供应严重不足,而并非海外买家的参与。他说省府近年大幅度提高建筑密度的要求。从现行的每公顷50人增至80人。这使得低层房屋项目不容易取得批准供应而无以为继。他表示已经联合其他市长要求省府放松建筑密度,增加低层房屋的供应量。

虽然最后动议因为支持者寥寥而以落空告终,但是海外买家对房市造成影响的看法的确已经受到多方的关注,未来这方面的话题估计还会持续。

中国限汇导致海外买家转投低价房

海外买家已经树立一个影响着加拿大房市的形象。从大温的情况看,增加土地转让税从数据上看已经让大批海外买家撤离。不过最近市场上一说法提到,中国限汇的国情也令加拿大的房市有着另一番影响。

从大温市场得出的数据,2015年是中国资金流出最多的一年,直到20162月,中国政府严审资金汇出,才使资金外流速度开始减缓,而也就是从那时开,卑诗省的房地产的销售开始出现减缓,尽管楼价仍继续上涨。

我们先看看中国限汇的背景材料:中国资金自去年2月以后继续缓慢流出,直到去年11月,中国国家外汇管理局报告外汇储备已降低至接近3万亿()美元,而3万亿美元是中国政府一直设法捍卫的心理关卡,也因此中国必须采取更多管制外汇的措施,才能避免外汇储备继续降低及其所带来的人民币贬值等一连串的经济问题。而随着中国政府采取更严格的外汇管制措施后,去年12月流出的资金降至410亿美元,比原来预期减少20%,不过,中国政府并未就此停手,今年1月又开始采取更多设法限制走资的措施。

在这样的政策影响下,从大温楼市的市场状况看,中国政府之前一波的外汇管制,已使来自中国的买家越来越难将将资金汇出,于是令投资者手上资金减少,从而改买价位较低的房屋。作为加拿大另一个火热无比的楼市——多伦多,情况必然相似。加上没有海外买家缴纳额外土地转让税的规定,情况对比大温市场有可能更为明显。但是在没有数据支持下,一切都只是分析。可是,一旦这种情况准确无误,对于还没上车的工薪阶层必然是一大打击。

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